Monday, September 19, 2016

Clinton versus Trump

net neutrality
nationalizing the healthcare industry
Hillary Clinton's official position on health care isn't nationalization, but includes a public option and promoting Medicaid expansion. Donald Trump parrots Republican talking points, focusing on a repeal of Obamacare with some free-market-based suggestions. So I don't think "their stated opinions are the same".

Even if you disregard Trump's written position in favor of the various contradictory opinions he's expressed over the campaign, and somehow draw out of them an equal or preferable position to Clinton's - in practice, Trump will be working with Republicans in Congress and Clinton will be working with Democrats. Though he would have some influence of his own as president, he's hardly a complete renegade; aside from the above link, among other things, his official tax plan is based on the House GOP's, and his list of potential Supreme Court justices includes your typical conservatives. Needless to say, the Democratic and Republican parties as a whole have rather different opinions on healthcare nationalization.
re-nationalizing the prison industry
expanding education funding
and establishing modern educational techniques and certificates of attainment
Not enough detail here to determine whose education plan (aside from funding) you'd prefer, but they're certainly different.
using our existing anti-trust laws like a ban-hammer
extending employee protections
Clinton supports it. Trump doesn't seem to have much of a position, but his party certainly opposes it.
reducing the length and severity of patents
Neither candidate supports this itself, but Clinton's plan includes measures against patent trolls and ensuring the PTO is properly funded to, among other things, "ensure that only valid patents are issued".

The Influence of French Food on Japanese Culture

Today we are going to talk about French Food and their impact in Japanese culture.

French food has been a huge part of Japanese cuisine from the Meiji Era to the modern day. Japan is probably the biggest fan of French food, having several three-class Michelin starred restaurant and actually beating PARIS in terms of how popular French Food is today. French Food found its way in influencing several Japanese foodstuffs, and modern Japanese food in today’s world. As such, it’s going to be very big. I know some people don’t like it when I do really big write-ups, but when it’s big, it’s big for a good reason.

Some notes: for those that don’t know what Burdock tastes like, it has a texture that’s somewhat crunchy and it tastes like something between the meaty flavor of bacon with the slight saltiness and bitterness of anchovies. It’s really really good! So for those unfortunate souls that can’t eat bacon due to religious reasons, this can help explain what bacon taste like.

Also, wine is incredibly important business to the French. This is coming from the same country that declared a national emergency when California won their first international wine competition after all, and it’s still infamous today as the Judgement of Paris. Last time I checked, they still have a grudge on us Californians for that.

…By the Way, the scene where the chefs pray, that’s real. Real Life French Chefs pray to God to get through the shift, especially on hell days (Days which the most profit is made) like Weekends, Holidays, giant reservation meetings. As a famous French Chef once put it, “The religious should pray to God during these harsh times, and if you’re an atheist, pray to God anyways because you’re gonna believe in God soon enough after this shift is over”

Anyways, where to begin…

French Food first started to appear in the Japanese diet during the late 1800s in the Meiji Era. Remember Emperor Meiji and that giant super-student transfer program that sent a lot of men towards Britain? Well today we’re gonna focus on the French side. I’m very excited to talk about this part in history, because when Japan talks about outside influence Meiji Era, they always focus on Britain. Granted, it’s understandable, considering the British Empire was at its height at this point, several of Japan’s famous ships like the Mikasa and Kongou were British-built ships, and A lot of Japan’s policies were very British-based, to the point where Emperor Showa tried to advertise Japan as “the Eastern Grat Britain”.

So to recap, the super-student transfer program Emperor Meiji made had these goals in mind: Make allies with as many European countries as possible, get them to send as much military Equipment as possible to Japan, and to get Japan to learn as much information on whatever they have in Europe, whether it’s European philosophy, industry, science, and culture. France at this time gladly accepted Japan as an ally, and told them to send as much people as they want over. In addition, France built some battleships to send to Japan, but not as much as Britain (France didn’t have as much resources and territory as Britain, and Japan was more buddies with Britain, but they still liked France), and Japanese people set foot in France.

Now imagine you are a Japanese person in France at this time. You never exited your country before, and this is the first time outside Japan. In your paper, Emperor Meiji gave you the task to learn anything involving European culture. This was like a huge thing for you, as the Emperor was kind enough to pay for your ticket and all you needed to do was learn something to bring back to Japan.

This was a huge moment for any Japanese person to step outside their country, a whole new world. While many focused on industry, military matters and science, while some focused on government laws and philosophy, some Japanese decided to go look into the cultural side, and learn how to cook French food, and these became the first Japanese French chefs. When they came back to Japan, Emperor Meiji hired these first Japanese-french chefs to his royal Kitchen, so Emperor Meiji can improve the cultural parts of Japan he felt were outdated before by the samurai. Others opened French Restaurants in Japan, and they made a LOT of money. More on this later. In addition, Emperor Meiji promoted the consumption of French food in many other ways, such as the time Japan had its first world meeting with multiple representatives. Emperor Meiji invited diplomats all over the world, and he asked France to send in several chefs to show that Japan can be a royal country as the Europeans. This was a massive shocker to the Washoku (Traditional Japanese) community at the time, because before the emperor would borrow chefs from their kitchens, but here Emperor Meiji decired to hire foreign chefs for their feasting.

Now I would like you all to note that throughout the Meiji, Taisho, and Showa Eras pre-WWII that French Food, while popular amongst the rich, was not growing in popularity despite Emperor Meiji advertising French Food as the best thing ever, because Emperor Meiji promoting French food as great ironically made European food really Expensive.

You see, when the first Japanese French chefs set up shops, they were often visited by noblemen and the Emperor himself whenever he got the chance. The First Japanese French Chefs realized that this was an incredible way to exploit this and they made money. A lot of money. Indeed, they made so much money that even pretty wealthy families that ate kaiseki and big places couldn’t afford to eat French Food. This gave French Food a whole meaning of wealthy all on its own to the point where there was a phrase that said, “The Rich may eat Kaiseki (Rich Japanese food) but the Emperor eats French food”. This also unfortunately gave the impression that anybody eating French food that wasn’t connected to government as either insanely rich, criminally corrupt, or both. Just to give you an impression on how hard it was to get French food, the easiest way for a man to get the one chance to eat it was to join the navy (Which was much more harsh compared to many other navies), slowly go up the ranks, and pray that you live long enough to be stationed aboard a battleship like the Yamato. That’s the EASY way. The HARD version is to somehow get into Japanese politics and gain influence, but do not get assassinated. But anyways, just to give you an estimate on how much money the Japanese French chef made, one particular French chef made enough money to:
  • Buy a Japanese mansion, complete with garden and tea house (REALLY EXPENSIVE)
  • A private hunting ground, complete with smokehouse for ducks and deer
  • Enough money to travel around the world several times over.
  • Money to send his son, and later grandson to go to the top colleges and kitchens all around the world.
  • Money to spend on really expensive wines.
Keep in mind, this is just one person, and yet he managed to make so much money that even in today’s economy, that’s still a lot of money.

So this gave the Japanese the impression that French Chefs are like literal money makers, but the thing was that despite the amount of money French chefs made, the Japanese government was looking for more industrial tech to modernize Japan and military men to modernize the military, so the Japanese French community was pretty monopolized.

So moving on to the Early Showa Era.

The Early Showa Era had a bit of a decline in the popularity on French Food. There are two reasons for this: The Great Kanto Earthquake of 1929 and the rise of Nationalism. The Great Kanto Earthquake caused a giant famine in the region, causing a massive loss in interest in “rich people food” as famines tend to do. Another thing was the rise of Nationalism. During this time, conservative party members like Hideki Tojo rose into politics, and they promoted Washoku Japanese foods, creating a massive decrease in French food. However, in a sense of what can be described as irony and hypocrisy, the conservatives and the Emperor themselves loved French Food, and they spent a lot of money going to those monopolized French Restaurants. Indeed, one of the people who loved French Food was Emperor Showa himself. Emperor Showa LOVED French Food, and a large budget was entirely devoted to spending money on French duck dishes, which were Emperor Showa’s favorite foods. The Military generals in the Imperial Japanese Navy (Note the Navy part) also loved French Food, and indeed, the IJN actually promoted propaganda that encouraged young men to Join the navy on the one chance common people may be able to enjoy eating the foods of the rich. Indeed, Japan’s capital ships, like the Yamato and Musashi had French chefs stationed aboard them, and sailors that got the rare privilege on serving aboard the ship got to experience the wonders of the rich. Indeed, Admiral Yamamoto (The guy who bombed Pearl Harbor) enjoyed the Yamato’s consume (A French soup) so much that he gained weight from eating the food. Anyways, this gave the IJN a sort of love hate for the Yamato, as while sailors were enjoying the high life on the Yamato, they didn’t sortie, so this gave the impression that Yamato was a “hotel” of sorts.

World War II began, and French food wasn’t bought as much. It was kind of seen as politically incorrect to eat French food unless you were the Emperor, and French Food was eaten exclusively by the rich. Again. Also, Yamato’s chef got killed during the Battle of Bounomisaki (Ten-go) and went down with the Yamato. Moving on, since not much really happened in World War II in this subject. But Post War gets really important.

Post-War

Okay, so the year is 1945 now. Let’s talk about the state of the world at this time.

The atomic bomb has dropped, changing warfare forever. Britain’s giant empire is rapidly falling apart. France, Germany, and Italy are destroyed and need to repair badly. Russia was preparing for the Cold War. The Japanese spent so much money on the war, that the economy is rekt. The only person that made it through alright was America.

Since America was the only one that made it out WWII intact and actually gained in the war, they had to fix the world. Naturally, America saw Japan’s economy and shoved a bunch of money to create the POST WAR ECONOMIC MIRACLE, which got the economy running somewhat. But there was the problem with creating jobs. You see, when America took apart the military, there was a surplus of young men who wanted to join the military, but without the military, they were out of a job. So America interviewed many youths, and noted that many had ambitions to be a French Chef. So America calls France.

America: Hey France, how you doing?

France: we got pretty blown badly during the war, many of our males are dead, our population is trying to rebuild but we need more people to fill in some vacant jobs to succeed in places.

America: Are chefs some of them?

France: Yes! We need more trainees in the kitchens, and some chefs that graduated were going to open restaurants, but our cityside has been destroyed, so they can’t set up shops.

Then America has a genius idea.

America: Well, we got plenty of Japanese people who want to be French Chefs, why don’t we send them to you to train with your older chefs, who need apprentices, while you send their top apprentices to Japan and they can train the next generation and open restaurants there? As a bonus, I’ll pay for everything.

France: We French chefs are the best in the world! Send them over! We’ll train them to be the best chefs! Also, we’ll send our guys to them to train and profit.

(Replace France with Italy and you get the Italy boom in Japan, but that’s another story for another time)

So many young males (Note the Males, high-class cooking was traditionally seen as a male thing, Females entering the area of high class cooking is a kinda recent thing), ranging from dropouts, people who had bad records in schools, people who realize they could turn a new leaf, military men out on a job realized the potential on the high amount of money they can make, realized that they can make a lot of money. So many males signed up for the exchange program, and many Japanese people went to France, while some French chefs travelled to Japan to teach the newer generation on how to cook French chefs. One of these people was a young Joel Robuchon, the legendary God of Cooking, also famous for popularizing Soy Sauce to the west.

So many Japanese travelled to Paris, excited to learn French Food. Instead, they experienced a battlefield.

So you’d expect many of them to simply learn French food, right? Well, no, because France is the birthplace of the infamous Paris system. To describe the Paris system, imagine if Tootsuki was filled with racists and the culinary equivalent of videogamers who play hard modo all the time. Something like that. One famous Japanese chef described the scene as “hell”.

Now here’s the thing you need to know about Paris in the cooking world. Paris has an infamous reputation for being the “Battlefield of Job Applicants” in the cooking world, as not only is impressing the chef not only hard, but Paris has an 85-90%* chance of people getting fired, and whoever gets fired can get replaced just as easily because there will be always another person who will fill the spot for minimum wage, so unless you are extremely bold and want to keep working, you have to be at your top game 100% of the time, because in the Paris system, you literally are expendable. This is also why chefs who do really well in their resumes practically can get hired in any restaurant they choose and have a much easier time opening restaurants. Paris has an infamous habit of “purging” many good chefs for producing excellent chefs. Kinda like Tootsuki, only more racist.

Indeed, many Japanese during that time got their applicants rejected on account of being Japanese, or having a Japanese tone in their accent. (In the cooking world, communications are important, so having an accent can be a disadvantage in high-class places). Those people that do got in had to deal with racist French chefs trying to kick them out and other Japanese chefs trying to compete to be as successful. The Japanese had such a hard time finding jobs, that some decided to kowtow and bow down in front of the restaurant doors, literally staying there for several days until hunger gets to them, just hoping to get an interview for a job application with the French chefs. Many French chefs came home either just as empty handed or learned small skills, some used them to create new trends, but for the few Japanese people who trained, endured, and worked hard, they experienced heaven. They got to work with the finest ingredients nobody ever gets to touch, sample the finest wines in the country, and they got to work with the French Chefs they admired so much. They literally climbed the culinary Everest, and were on the top of the world. Indeed, when they got back home, their hometown celebrates their return like they won a massive war. The entire hometown would throw celebrations, invite classmates and teachers, and party. These people became famous for being the 1st Generation Japanese-French chefs.

Now before we continue, I’d like to talk about the 4 great generations of French Chefs.

The generation we talked about was the first Generation of Chefs. Out of the 4, these ones tend to stick most to the classique French techniques, and are most famous for their sauces. I would like you to all also note that out of the 4 generations, this was the generation where the majority got through from the deals made by America, as the 2nd-4th generation got to France via Japanese-French agreements once Japan started making money again by America’s POST WAR ECONOMIC MIRACLE/spent the money to travel to France. Members in this category are Iron Chefs Ishinabe and Sakai, although Sakai is an unusual case because he also combines a lot of Nouvelle techniques.

The Second Generation are famous for combining a balance between Classique and Nouvelle, and were some of the people who sparked the dessert revolution in Japan, the time when Japanese chefs adopted French techniques to incorporated it into wagashi, thus giving boom to new trends. Famously introduced ice cream and crepes to Japan.

The Third Generation are top Nouvelles, are liberal in their interpretation of French Food, preferring to use more vegetables than the typical French and using a lot of Natural flavors, mixing a few Japanese touches in the food. It’s hinted that Shinomiya is a Third Generation, considering how he uses a lot of vegetables and his sauces don’t look heavy (a staple of Nouvelle cuisine).

I admit I do not know much about the 4th generation, but I do know that they recently set up shops in France, and French Chefs have been really angry that their customers are going to their stores, so there’s a culinary war developing in France there.

Anyways, the difference between Japanese French Food and Regular French food comes in 3 ways. First, Japanese chefs use more vegetables in their dishes, and incorporate it into the main dish, while Traditional French Chefs use vegetables more as a garnish. 2nd, Japanese French sauces tend to be more light to reflect part of the Japanese ideals of sauces, making it similar to Nouvelle French. The final part is that Japanese chefs are much more delicate and intricate in their decorating compared to the French, who are much more bold with the food.

The French-Japanese Culinary War

The amount of these successful Japanese French chefs coming back weren’t welcomed by everyone, however. Indeed, by setting up restaurants and businesses all over Japan, the French Chefs angered the Washoku (Traditional Japanese) chefs all over Japan. The Washoku chefs accused the Japanese French chefs of being culture traitors, while the French Chefs called the Japanese chef old-school conservatives who are too stubborn for change. It was, at first, a small conflict. Then it grew big. Really big. Then it turned out into an almost outright war of attrition, the culinary conflict we call today the French-Japanese Culinary War. This also makes Hinako’s… Crush on Shinomiya in Eitolle kind of hilarious, as the two culinary communities, while respectful of each other, hate each other in real life.

The French-Japanese culinary war split Japan in 2: Those that like French Food and those that like Japanese food. The French-Japanese Culinary War saw a massive boom in new restaurants appearing, then the weaker restaurants getting eliminated by jealous rival restaurants, a literal Free-for all deathmatch with some resemblance of teamwork, alliances, and backstabbings here and there, kind of like politics, only culinary. Tokyo turned into a battlefield, almost as intense as the streets of Paris, and entire shopping districts had to have their maps redrawn several times just because of the amount of competition and elimination the two factions had trying to outdo each other. By the way, I have to mention this: this conflict is STILL GOING ON TODAY. It’s a huge subject I absolutely have to talk about.

Now one thing you all have to note is that Washoku chefs do not HATE French Food itself. Indeed, there are several times where French and Japanese Chefs cooperated and create beautiful and tasty dishes that are above and beyond. What Washoku chefs hate are the fact that French chefs are entering their territory and taking customers, prestige, and the like away from the Restaurants with French Food.

So how did the conflict escalate to such an extent? Well, 4 things, really: Land Animal usage, customer spending, Nationalism, and reviews.

First important point I have to have to mention is the French usage of Land animal meat. Remember back in my beef stew writeup when I mentioned the whole Washoku-Yoshoku split on how the Washoku factions were really angry on the usage of land animal meat, especially beef?

Well, this is going to come back, full force.

Meat gained a MASSIVE popularity post-WW2 because of the French Chefs, and more people began eating more meat, especially beef. The Japanese Chefs, more bound to tradition, were furious that meat became more popular, as it drove the value, popularity, and worth of the seafood-based dishes the Washoku chefs made down. In addition, traditionally, Japanese dishes were made with seafood and many were reluctant or very outright refused to convert to meat, so they had a harder time with the changing trends compared to the newer chefs who did adapt to cooking with land animal meat.

The 2nd thing, customers, was another big issue. Before the 1950s, French Food was just a rich-people’s club, and many were scared of the thought of spending hundreds of dollars on food, so the French community in Japan were a very niche group. They disliked each other, but there wasn’t a conflict between the groups because both groups mostly kept to their customers.

However, with the rise of French Chefs post 1950, this drove the prices of French food down to a still expensive, but much more affordable state, so while the newly set up French chefs may not have made quite as much money as that one guy I mentioned in part 1, it’s still a lot of money, but they also got a much bigger spending range for eager customers, with the not as rich finally being able to try French Food after so long. But how did the Japanese French chefs managed to get so many people to come to their stores? Well, aside from advertising, they did some deals. Great Deals. They made deals that made it much more attractive for people who want to try rich foods to try French better. One example is that Japanese French Chefs made deals like “if you reserve for a party here, we can make you a great deal that everyone can spend on”, thus making it much more attractive for huge business leaders to dine in French Restaurants. But the biggest territory the Japanese French chefs treaded on that really pissed the Japanese chefs are wedding deals.

Now for a little context: In Asian culture, marriages are serious businesses. When two Asians marry, they invite the ENTIRE FAMILY, from Parents, to uncles and aunts, cousins, siblings, their sibling’s children, EVERYONE, even Crazy Uncle Joe that lives halfway across the world, and they spend a lot of money to celebrate. In Asian Restaurants, marriage reservations are serious money makers, due to how many expensive ingredients they get to break out. A usual marriage can make a profit of several thousands to the hundreds, depending on how big the marriage is, so some successful restaurants made profits and names alone just catering to marriages. The thing is though, is that Japanese Marriages are extreme in the fact that the typical Shinto marriage can go from $100,000-500,000 depending on how many family members show up (Read: A lot) and there are several restaurants that go to the MILLIONS.

The French decided to play at the Japanese game, but offer a slightly CHEAPER (Read: Still expensive, Your wallet will cry but it won’t be so bad compared to the RIP Wallet Prices of a Shinto Marriages) price. This got more Japanese people to romanticize European Marriages, the Bridal dress, and cause European Romance boom, and those French Chefs that do cater to marriages made a lot of money, but at the same time really pissed off the Washoku factions, who before had the monopoly on marriages.

The Third Reason, Nationalism, is a complicated subject. Going with reasons 1 and 2, the Washoku factions are known to be, well, very politically conservative. As in, they are afraid that the Japanese people, with all these new businesses setting up in their homelands, may forget that they are Japanese. To be fair to the Washoku factions, they are not entirely unjustified. For example, in a recent magazine article, there was a sentence that said that Japan was the “haven of new and innovative French Foods”. However, the Washoku factions do not want to be known as that, because if tourists travel to Japan, they want to eat Japanese foods. It’s a serious issue that is very political, and they do have some justification.

And lastly, we get reviews. In High class dining, reviews are serious businesses. Having all good reviews can seriously cause a rise in sales, while having just one bad review can send customers away, and thus reviews can get serious at times. However, in some reviews, like Michelin, they tend to be biased on French Cuisine, and indeed, the term “French Bias” is actually a very big thing thrown around by a lot of different cuisine chefs, especially the Japanese. The Japanese French Restaurants, being French cuisine and having food similar to what the reviewers liked, catered more to the palettes of the foreign reviews of well known guidebooks, such as Michelin, Zagat, and other reputable reviewers. This again, pisses off the Japanese in the sense that a reviewer that critiques the food specializes and favors French food, thus they get higher scores. Again, the Washoku factions are not entirely unjustified, as seen in the Zagat Controversy.

What is the Zagat Controversey? Well, in 1998-1999, Zagat released a guidebook, and chefs everywhere bought the guides, as per custom. While many French Chefs got high praises, none of the restaurants listed were Washoku restaurants. Riots then promptly proceeded to break out everywhere, with accusations of French Bias being yelled out, and the guide even infuriated the wrath of (Former) Iron Chef Rokusaburo Michiba to the point where he and Toshiro Kandegawa (Keep in mind, these two chefs, while respectful of each other, really disliked each other in real life because Kandegawa was a conservative (As in, followed the traditional path of making food) while Michiba was a liberal (As in, went beyond the boundaries of tradition), so these two men actually agreeing with each other was a huge shock to everyone) agreed that the guide was biased, and Michiba, with a very tranquil fury, promptly used his connections with the Show Iron Chef just to fly the Zagats over and get the Washoku community better reviews, which they did do another, more fair analysis of the restaurants in their next guide. Keep in mind that the Washoku community still does get very angry whenever a French Restaurant shines through, and this is a very sore subject, considering how if I recalled, a very recent magazine that had a French Restaurant winning in Tokyo really got the Washoku community up in flames.

SOURCE

Why the US "Debt" Doesn't Matter

We have ~270 trillion in assets and ~150 trillion in grand total debts. That is what they call the US "financial position". It also leaves us with a net worth of 130 trillion. It doesn't mean that we'll suddenly sell California to settle a debt with China; but the earning power of a country is in part predicated on assets. A country which is large, geographically isolated and secure, with high technological development and many ports and rich natural resources is always going to have a strong earning potential.

It's like looking at a man with 50k in credit card debt and only 5k in the bank. But he has a mansion worth 1 million that he owns in its entirety. 1m in equity, well in excess of its debts.

Yes, Nixon divided the dollar from gold. And yes, we have a huge amount of "theoretical" cash in the world which outweighs physical cash of coins, paper bills, and rare minerals. But the US has land, territories, legal rights. It has trading contracts with other countries, something that Britain, with is recent exit from the EU, can tell you are incredibly valuable things, and a bitch to negotiate. We have manufacturing, we have brands, technologies, an international reputation, and we have taxable citizens with career prospects and educations who represent a strong annual income in the form of taxes for many years to come.

These realities make the deficits pale in comparison. Look at how favorable the US Federal Governments borrowing rates are. Why do you think countries are willing to lend to us for such low interest rates? Because the prospects of our future earning power are incredibly strong. Our deficits are just one tiny drop in our potential future earnings, and like any creditor, countries with available liquidity are more than happy to lend, and therefore make money, to a country with robust earning power, and a net worth well in excess of our current debts.

In fact, just to hit home how strong the US' position really is, the US owns thirty four percent of the global total wealth. Let that sink in. We own a little over a third of all the wealth in the entire world. There's 200-some odd countries, and if you put every single one of them together over us, they only double our wealth. China only owns 9%.

So use that to remind any slack-jawed drool spewling Trump voter who claims we aren't "winning" anymore.

EDIT: I would also just like to point out that what people are referring to when they talk about China's economy is its growth. In the last twenty years, China has more than doubled the size of its economy - but that's because it was only doubling a single digit number. Can you imagine what it takes to grow our economy at this point?

Capitalism depends on growth. This is why China is so enormously important. You can't shove Apple products down American's throats nearly as fast, because Americans already have shit. Sure, there is always the stray idiot who trades his perfectly fine iPhone 6 in for a shitty iPhone 7 after owning it for only a year, but these idiots are rare. However in places like China, strong growth combines with a strong need, specifically, a need for Western goods like iPhone, and clothes, and Hollywood movies, and all the things that we are saturated with, but they are not, and all their growing middle class for which these things would previously have been incomprehensible luxuries are suddenly able to afford them and are buying with a fervor.

The ideal consumer in a capitalist world is someone who has a great deal of disposable wealth but a relative lack of things. That's China right now. They're building cities, modern Western amenities, adopting Western needs for clothing and cosmetics and all the things we know and love and make. And so with their newfound wealth they buy, and buy, and buy, and buy.

But this is the paradoxical thinking in capitalist economies. To be huge is sometimes seen as a problem; to be becoming huge is seen as an incredible asset. The same with companies; some companies grow so large that growth is virtually impossible. Even though they are stable, and paying all their bills, stable companies are not as attractive to investors as growing companies. If I have 1m dollars, where would I be more likely to invest it: in a giant company whose stock value, while high, never moves? Or some small but fast-growing up-and-comer, whose stock value is low, but whose value is guaranteed to grow? No question: invest in the grower, because your 1m investment will grow relative to the growth of their stock.

China is currently this growing economy, and in a capitalist global structure, you need growth. Because in America, where we already have everything, and are relatively saturated, you need to either A) invent radically new products and technologies which no one has but everyone wants (smartphones were an example of this, but experts predict the number of these types of advancements are shrinking), or you B) find a foreign economy whose citizens are growing richer but are not saturated with our products yet.

China fuels global growth because as they grow, they need things. Countries and companies sell things; thus, China fuels growth. China needs oil, steel, minerals, food - they need a lot to fuel their economic growth, but at some point (maybe soon), their growth will slow. And that means other countries and companies will sell less than they are currently selling, and they'll be back to the drawing board.

This is where the trouble is. Not in debts, but in slowing economies. This is why it is also wise, for all of us, to invest in the growth of pre-industrialized nations. The better they do, the better we all do, because we open up new markets to export our goods and therefore strengthen our economies.

This means we are in a state of mutual dependence - China offers cheaper labor and materials for American manufacturing, but they also offer a gigantic wealthier population to gobble up those goods at retail prices.

But when China's demand slows - when its growth slows down, our GDP shrinks, because there are simply less people available to buy the things our country manufactures.

EDIT EDIT: Wow! Triple gold, thank you to everyone who commented. This was a pretty big shock to me on a third-tier comment I didn't think would ever see the light of day. Honored and humbled.

Everyone has had some great dialog beneath this - even my detractors! I love good, open debate, and the subsequent debate this post fostered is worth more to me than gilding (though gilding is great too! Even though gold isn't nearly as valuable as Glenn Beck may lead you to believe it is).

Couple things: Yes, I insulted Trump voters, and iPhone 7 buyers. No, I'm not sorry. Yes, it was a little unprofessional. Fairness to me, I had no anticipation this post would gain the visibility it did, or prompt the discussions it did; if I had, I would have probably been a little more polite (though isn't frankness and vulgarity Trump's big appeal with you people?) I, too, as a human, enjoy throwing around phonetically appealing vulgarities on Reddit late at night. I really dislike Hillary too, and still haven't returned my potentially explosive Note7 yet, if its any consolation.

When I wrote this, I was speaking off-the-cuff; many people have nicely, and sometimes not so nicely, pointed out misspeaks, like Britain technically not having exited the EU yet, the fact that the Fed Gov't doesn't technically own all recorded assets in the US financial position (immaterial), that my metaphors aren't perfectly symmetrical with the concepts I'm using them to describe (I was never much of a poet). I'm immensely grateful for the response, the compliments, and for all of the many nuanced discussions that have taken place below. If this topic interests people, I encourage you, please read this thread in its entirety, and listen to what a lot of smart people have had to say about it, and then continue on your own research.

As a final disclaimer, in this OP, i was not trying to advocate that everything is peachy and rosy and sunny in global economics. We have a lot of challenges. And $19t in debt isn't doomsday, but it isn't a figure to celebrate, either. There have been financial missteps. There continue to be financial missteps. Wealth inequality, over-regulation in some sectors, under-regulation in others. Read, and be informed, and bring that to the voting booth in this very important upcoming election. Most of congress is up for the taking. I won't tell you who to pick - but a positive national net worth doesn't mean things can't hurt and be unpleasant for us. Vigilance of an informed public is the best way to make sure politicians don't use historically boring financial subjects to inflict grievous harm on our economy.

Thursday, September 15, 2016

On a Healthy Marriage and Why Marriages Fail

Here are the most common mistakes I've seen (my own as well as collectively) in the failed and struggling marriages I've seen:
  • One or both spouses have unresolved childhood baggage issues that will rear its head in their adult relationships. Examples of these include (but not limited to) physical or emotional abuse/neglect in the home; sexual abuse; one or both parents had substance abuse/addiction issues; one or both partners came from a divorced or single parent household. Among the many reasons why this is such a significant factor is if you grow up in a dysfunctional environment, you have no idea how dysfunctional and unhealthy it really is. To you, its normal, it is all you've ever known. So if Mom and Dad resolved conflict by getting drunk, yelling at each other and then not speaking for days, guess what you have a chance of modeling as an adult in your own relationships?
  • Understanding what "marriage as a priority" really means. When you get married, your marriage has to be the main priority in your life. Not your career, not your spouse (i.e. don't put them on a pedestal), not your kids, not your hobbies or your personal fitness. The fact is, when you get married, you no longer get to call all of the shots. Gotten used to staying up all night playing XBOX with your boys on weekends? Not going to work in a marriage for an extended period of time. You're going to have to accept the fact that if you want to have a healthy marriage, compromise is your new word of the day. In some cases you may have to give things up entirely, or learn to say "no for now." While this often tends to be more of a struggle for men, women can also struggle with this issue. I'm not saying that getting married means giving up you completely, or kiss all of your favorite activities goodbye. What I am saying is, if you want your marriage to be healthy, you now have someone else in your life who gets an equal (not dominant--equal) say in how you spend your free time.
  • Poor communication skills. A shockingly high number of adults lack basic healthy communication skills and conflict resolution skills. Its heart breaking to have conversations with struggling couples who won't speak to each other with a kind word for any reason. Both spouses should feel that their marriage is the one safe place in the world for each other. Unfortunately, in many instances, it is the last place a spouse can go for emotional safety. If you don't feel your partner is your first friend, your best friend, your most trusted friend, then something is broken in your communications with each other.
  • Vastly different backgrounds. Don't get me wrong. Anyone can be successfully married to someone else if both people are committed to it and willing to work on it. But most of the time, that's just not the case. Societal/familial pressures are real, and it is important to assess them if you find yourself in a relationship that is impacted by them. Are you dating a trust fund baby/very wealthy child and you are the Jack Dawson? Tread carefully. It makes a great movie, but statistically, Rose winds up marrying Cal far more often than running off with Jack, because she doesn't want to deal with the family pressure or get cut off financially. Sorry, that's reality, not the movies.
  • Similar to different backgrounds, different motivations in life. Do you know what your partner wants out of life? Do they aspire to be an artist who welds clown sculptures out of mufflers? That's great, but will it support the two of you, and if it won't, will you be okay supporting them while they're making Pennywise the Dual Exhaust Killer? Do they want to be a stay at home parent? Are you okay being the sole breadwinner? What if it is the reverse?
  • One. Union. Combined. Together. This notion is one that I see a lot of guys--especially high wage earners who are the sole income for the family--stumble over. Whether you are religious or not, the fact is when you get married you are no longer two individuals. You're one. The law sees you that way, the tax code (at least in the US) sees you that way, and society sees you that way. There is no such thing as "mine and yours" in a marriage. There is only "ours." The faster you get that concept nailed down, the better off you'll be. I've seen many marriages collapse just over this issue alone.
  • Marriage is not an event, its a journey. So many couples stop trying to pursue each other after the wedding day. Guys and girls do this. Stereotypically/historically, men tend to focus on their careers/making money; women tend to focus on raising the children and/or managing the household. (I realize not in every situation) Both spouses stop taking time to compliment each other, appreciate each other, go out on dates, weekend getaways, or generally just spending time chasing after each other. They take each other for granted and begin to drift apart. "We just fell out of love" is one of the most common phrases I hear in couples struggling, and the sad thing is, its one of the easiest traps to avoid.
  • Friends and family around the marriage. This is especially hard for people who come from dysfunctional families. When you get married, your new spouse automatically gets moved to the front of the line. In front of your parents, siblings, lifelong besties, etc. They're great to have in your life, but all of them have to take a distant back seat to your new spouse. If you're a guy who has had a doting mother all your life and she's told you what to do, who to marry, where to go to college, etc, you have a tough job ahead of you. The Monster-In-Law stereotype exists for a reason. If your new wife turns pale when your Mom's number pops up on your cellphone, you need to talk to your wife and find out what boundaries she'd like to have installed. If you are Daddy's little girl and nobody has ever been good enough in your Dad's eyes, its time for you to tell Dad that you're so grateful for his love and support, but Jim is more than good enough in your eyes, so you need him to be in his eyes, too. And sadly, if you have friends or family members who are toxic to you or your marriage, you may be forced to make a very difficult decision in your life. Anyone who sits around bitching about how much they hate their life, their spouse, their kids or how you're going to eventually feel the same way about yours--put distance between you as fast as you possibly can. We tend to adopt the attitudes of the company we keep. So if you spend all your time with negative people...guess where you're going to be mentally?
  • Date to establish trust. Time is actually your friend, not your enemy. Do not ignore ANY red flag you see in a relationship. Examine it for what it is, then determine if it is something you can work through with the other person, or is it something they refuse to acknowledge or deal with? If you're dating someone who is selfish and they refuse to see it, they will not magically become unselfish because you were kind enough to marry them. Red Flags ignored in dating will become the rocks upon which your marriage boat smashes in the coming storms. If there are multiple red flags and they won't talk to you about any of them, walk away. It doesn't matter if you've already moved in, share the bank account, the dog, and a car. Get out now. If they're not willing to work on things that impact the security of a relationship today, you can count on them not working on them after you get married.
Marriage is not easy. It requires a lot of work sometimes, even when you are both on the same page, have great communication, great sex (which will happen very easily if the rest of the relationship is healthy by the way) and great chemistry. People get sick, they get laid off, their family members die, children get sick, get hurt in accidents, friends have affairs, get divorced...life is challenging and it impacts our relationships, sometimes in ways we're not expecting or prepared for. If you're not willing to value your marriage above everything else in your life, its going to be really hard for it to survive the day in and day out challenges of living.

Decline of the American Middle Class

The concept of a large, affluent middle class is the cornerstone of the American dream. A dream in which anyone with a high school diploma and hard work could easily afford a nice house in the suburbs and two cars. Americans assume that this is the way the universe should work. That Americans have the "God given right" to the American dream. 

However, this reality of a wealthy and prosperous middle class is not the natural state of things, but a by product of a very unique set of historical circumstances, specifically, the end of World war II.

At the end of the Second World war, the US was the only major industrial power left with its industry and infrastructure unscathed. This gave the US a dramatic economic advantage over the rest of the world, as all other nations had to buy pretty much all the manufactured goods they needed from the US, and use their cheap natural resources as form of payment As a consequence, the American owners of the capital and means of production had to rely heavily on the American relatively small (on a Global scale) and highly skilled work force, since they had no one else to hire to men the factories. 

This gave the working class a lot of leverage to claim for itself a decent share of the high profits the American industrial complex in the post world war II world. This allowed for the phenomenal growth of the US middle class we saw in the 50s and 60s. A growth so incredible, that while the US middle class made up less than 5% of the world's population, it consumed 1/3 of its resources.
However, over time, the other industrial powers in Europe and Asia rebuild themselves and started to compete with the US. Not only that, but countries like Brazil, South Africa, Argentina, India, China, Mexico, Thailand, Turkey, South Korea, Vietnam and more also became industrialized. 

This meant that they were no longer selling their natural resources cheaply in exchange for US made industrial goods. Quite the contrary, they themselves started to bid against the US for natural resources to fuel their own industries. 

And more importantly, the US work force was no longer was the only one qualified to work on modern factories and to have proficiency over modern industrial processes. This meant that the US middle class could no longer easily outbid pretty much everyone else for natural resources, and the owners of the capital and means of production no longer dependent solely on this small and highly skilled work force. 

Many other countries now had an industrial base that rivals or surpasses that of the US, and a qualified work force to operate modern factories, if US companies chose to move productions out of the US. This meant that they also had their own middle classes that was able to bid against the US middle class for those limited global resources. And more importantly, manufacturers now can engage in global wage arbitrage, by moving production to a country with cheaper labor.
And the consequences of this global wage arbitrage? 

A dramatic, unprecedented and unimaginable drop in world poverty. 

Where once the American middle class was so wealthy that it voraciously consumed 1/3 of the world resources, that wealth has been redistributed around the world, thanks to globalization. This means that we are going back to the normal, where the US middle class is not that different from the middle classes from the rest of the world. 

The US middle class will get poorer, while the rest of the world will leave abject poverty and join a new, more modest middle class. And both the poorer US middle class and the emerging global middle class will meet at some middle ground. 

It is a "return to the mean" and that cannot be changed.  This is where the decline of the US middle class is coming from. There are no political solutions for it. It is the way it is. Any politician who claims to be able to restore "the good old days" is lying.

Tuesday, September 6, 2016

Mother Tersea was not a Saint

  • She ran hospitals (If an institution with a 40% mortality rate is actually classifiable as a hospital) like prisons, particularly cruel and unhygienic prisons at that. Children in her care were tied to their beds to prevent them misbehaving. She let the terminally ill (and even those with illnesses that would have been curable if her 'hospitals' were run better) die without pain relief because suffering bought them closer to Jesus
  • Most of the money donated to her causes was filtered back into the (already exceedingly rich) Catholic Church, or used to expand her 'charities' to new regions, rather than actually helping those in her care, many of whom were starving and lacking basic medical care... Basically she didn't love the poor and hungry, she loved poverty and hunger, she saw suffering as a grace and despite being lauded as a humanitarian given the fame and donations she had at her disposal did relatively little practical good.
  • She befriended and defended a genocidal dictator, Jean-Claude 'Baby Doc' Duvalier, and accepted donations from him of money extorted from the very poor she was supposedly helping as well as drug dealing and body part trafficking.
  • She accepted and refused to return profits of criminal activity. Including one and a quarter million US dollars in cash and use of a private jet from convicted racketeer and fraudster Charles Keating who stole over $3 Billion from US taxpayers in the 80's and 90's... Upon his conviction not only did Mother Teresa and The Catholic Church refuse to return the money they had received from him, Mother Teresa actually tried to use her influence to have him let off or at least sentenced leniently.
  • She publicly defended known pedophiles from within the clergy, including trying to use her influence to have leniency shown in sentencing of convicted child rapist Donald McGuire and campaigning to have him reinstated to the priesthood and allowing him to continue his work... even though this work would inevitably bring him into regular contact with children.
  • Because so much of the money she raised went to the church not the poor she hated waste in her hospitals, insisting staff reused needles until they were too blunt to continue using... even in known HIV high risk areas.
  • She directed a mere 7% of the monies her charities raised directly those she was supposedly helping... With much of the rest ending up in secret bank accounts and as yet still unaccounted for.
  • She routinely baptised those dying under her care regardless of their own wishes or religious beliefs.
  • She opposed both abortion and contraception, even in cases of incest, abuse and rape.
  • She praised and supported Ireland's anti-divorce laws... even in cases where spousal abuse was apparent, forcing countless women to live out lives of slavery and torture.Basically pretty much everything about her was evil, but the churches PR machine didn't have a hard job spinning a kindly looking old women stood amongst some of the poorest people in the world to look lie a saint, and once that side of the story was cemented in the press it became all most people saw of her.
Sources:

http://www.nouvelles.umontreal.ca/udem-news/news/20130301-mother-teresa-anything-but-a-saint.html
Les côtés ténébreux de Mère Teresa
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/worldviews/wp/2015/02/25/why-to-many-critics-mother-teresa-is-still-no-saint/
Christopher Hitchens - Mother Teresa: Hell's Angel
http://www.outlookindia.com/magazine/story/i-dont-think-she-deserved-the-nobel/284270
http://www.outlookindia.com/magazine/story/on-the-same-page/284274
http://newamericamedia.org/2013/03/city-of-doubts-kolkatas-uneasy-love-for-mother-teresa.php
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Criticism_of_Mother_Teresa
http://www.salon.com/2016/01/03/the_wests_big_lie_about_mother_teresa_her_glorification_of_suffering_instead_of_relieving_it_has_had_little_impact_on_her_glowing_reputation/
http://www.forbes.com/2010/08/10/forbes-india-mother-teresa-charity-critical-public-review.html
More sources in this comment by /u/BlunderLikeARicochet



How to be Attractive to Women

There are five things you need to do to become attractive. This will work on 99.999% of women. You might be surprised what they are, because they mostly do revolve around physical appearance. Don't listen to women who tell you they don't care about physical appearance. They are lying. Women prioritize appearance as much as men do - 99.999% of the time.
  1. Your body. This is crucially important. You need to work out. You need to do cardio. You need to eat extremely healthy, like Rob Lowe's character from Parks and Recreation. Drink as much water as you can, every day. The better your body is, the more likely groups of women will go, "Mmm!" when they see you. Look at the guys in /r/LadyBoners. That is what women find attractive. Take the time to do a martial art. If you do Yoga, you'll look 50 when you turn 70. Go bicycling.
  2. Your hair. You have to style your hair correctly. It's really important. Your hairstyle will make or break the shape of your face. If you're balding, shave the whole fucking thing off. You have no other choice. Don't worry; you can be bald and a lot of women will still consider you attractive. An example is Bruce Willis. You have to have a nice body for it, otherwise it'll be more difficult to find women who are willing to get to know you. Whether you have hair or not.
  3. Your clothing. Sorry. I hate this one. A lot of people -- myself included -- have no concept of clothing, and wouldn't be able to identify "attractive" vs. "unattractive clothing." You need outside help. Find a friend who knows about clothing, cares about you, and has patience. You can visit /r/MaleFashionAdvice, but it's best to find someone to help you in person. My whole life, I wanted to believe only stupid assholes will judge you for your clothing, but actually clothing is like a social skill that has to be learnt and adapted to in order to have successful relationships with people, whether personal, professional, or romantic relationships. It sounds horrible and superficial, but it's a fact of life. If you don't dress "correctly," women will ignore you. If you've never had outside help and you find yourself frequently ignored, you probably are not dressing "correctly." Don't try to do it yourself; get help. Some people have an intuitive understanding of what clothing looks good, others will simply be clueless. I am in the latter category. I learned this lesson in 2010, when a close friend of mine, frustrated with something I didn't understand, took me clothes shopping. The results were immediate and astonishing. Once I started dressing differently, women started treating me differently. One girl, out of nowhere, asked me to walk with her to her next class, clear across campus. Girls spoke to me and paid attention to me and smiled at me. It was absolutely fucking crazy. I had always been considered unattractive before that, and I never would have otherwise believed that clothing matters so much, but unfortunately we live in a stupid world and it does matter. Shoes are important, too.
  4. Your hygiene. This might seem self-explanatory, but I know a lot of you get depressed and forget this. Take a shower every day. Brush your teeth at least twice a day, and in advance of any kind of social situation. Try to floss several times a week. Shampoo and condition your hair, keep your beard closely cropped or shaved. If you have longish curly hair, try blow-drying it in a downward direction after you shower. This always made my hair look good, when I had longer hair. There are a few girls who like guys with long hair but most of them don't; especially if it's greasy or less-than-clean; if you aren't Johnny Depp, your best bet is to keep your hair short.
  5. This last step is a combination of things, but if I were to sum it up in a word, it would be independence. 
    1. Have a job. Do not live with your parents -- that's not attractive, most women won't respect you. Have a job which is both interesting, and pays enough for you to actually live on your own. 
    2. Spend time learning about things and develop at least five or ten separate interests. Be able to talk about things. Read a few Wikipedia articles every day. Read, read, read. Read things other than Reddit comments. 
    3. Be able to do everything you might need to do during the course of a week, by yourself. Do your own laundry. Learn to cook healthy food for yourself. Learn to dance. Dancing is hard, and I get why a lot of people hate it because I feel the same way, but it's a good obstacle to overcome. 
    4. Overcome obstacles. 
    5. Invest in your education, if you can. 
    6. Travel, if you can. If you live in the suburbs, move. Your suburban surroundings are the reason you aren't meeting new people. Move to the kind of healthy urban center where you can walk everywhere and people are walking around everywhere. In Europe, those centers are quite abundant; in the United States there are a maximum of about six of them. Move to one, get away from where you are. 
    7. Learn a new language. 
    8. Learn about botany. 
    9. Learn about astronomy. 
    10. Learn about geology and meteorology. 
    11. Learn about history. 
You can learn about all these things from Wikipedia, and they will all make you a more interesting person. Cultivate your interests. To be interesting, you have to be interested in all kinds of shit. Work on developing a solid group of male friends so that you'll have people to spend time with, and your heart won't break so badly every time a girl is disinterested in you. Go out with your male friends. Meet people with them. It'll be the most fun you've ever had, even if you go home with nobody.


That's it, those are the things. Now you know them, get to work. You don't have to be alone forever.

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